Dokument #2035821
Freedom House (Autor)
Democracy Percentage | 37.50 / 100 |
Democracy Score | 3.25 / 7 |
Over the past several years, Georgia has failed to consolidate its democratic structures as key challenges have remained untouched or even intensified. Polarization and radicalization of politics and the media space have become a new normal in Georgian political life. Citizens have grown increasingly frustrated with the government’s policies but, as of yet, have not found political shelter with the country’s opposition parties, who remain weak and unconsolidated.
The biggest blow to Georgia’s democratic development in 2019 was the violent dispersal of the antigovernment protests in June. These demonstrations erupted spontaneously after a member of the Russian Duma, Sergei Gavrilov, was viewed sitting in the chair of Georgia’s parliamentary speaker during a visit. He had been invited to attend the Interparliamentary Assembly on Orthodoxy, and was given the right to open the assembly.1 This move was considered emblematic of the government’s accommodating approach towards Russia. According to various sources, between 10,000 and 30,000 people gathered in front of Parliament,2 and after some attempted to storm the building, police responded with a violent crackdown, including the use of tear gas, rubber bullets, and water cannons.
The June 20–21 protests also demonstrated the intimate connection between Georgia’s foreign policy and domestic political processes. Since its ascent to power in 2012, the government formed by the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) party has attempted to normalize relations with Russia. After 2012, trade and tourism improved between the two countries. Russia became the second biggest export market for Georgian products,3 and Russian travelers contributed to a tourism boom in Georgia.4 Still, the Georgian population tends to compartmentalize attitudes towards its neighbor. There is generally support for overall normalization of relations and closer ties in some areas, especially in tourism and trade, but there is opposition to establishing political ties to the Russian government. Russia continues to occupy 20 percent of the country’s territory, and the normalization process has not touched the conflict regions. The Russian-sponsored border demarcation alongside the Administrative Boundary Line (ABL) also continued and even intensified.5 As a result, Georgian society still considers Russia as the greatest political and economic threat to the country,6 hence, GD’s policy backfired in 2019, leading to the anti-Kremlin protests in June.
Georgia’s democratic stagnation has been accompanied by rising discontent with the government’s socioeconomic policies. Despite better-than-average economic growth in the region, socioeconomic conditions were improving slowly and citizens became increasingly skeptical about the government’s ability to handle socioeconomic problems.7 Jobs, inflation, poverty, but also pensions and wages, were among the most pressing issues.8 The economy and the fight against crime, however, were the only two areas where the majority (65 and 52 percent, respectively) thought the situation had worsened, according to public opinion surveys.9
But rather than support the opposition camp, the majority of the population has fallen into political apathy and mistrust towards political processes. The opposition failed to attract support from the undecided electorate, which, according to December national polls, stood at 56 percent.10 The opposition remained weak and fractured in 2019, missing the window of opportunity opened by the government’s unpopularity. It was unclear at year’s end whether the new political party Lelo, founded by Mamuka Khazaradze, former head of one of Georgia’s largest banks, could reshape the country’s political landscape.
Political polarization increased in 2019, with the two major political parties, the ruling GD and the opposition United National Movement (UNM), and their informal leaders11—billionaire and former prime minister Bidzina Ivanishvili and ex-president in exile Mikheil Saakashvili, respectively—further radicalizing the field. A few opposition parties, including European Georgia, a splinter group from the former ruling party, have tried to claim their place in this polarized landscape with limited progress. On the other hand, citizens seemed willing to escape the bipartisan political limbo; according to a June survey, 74 percent agreed that it would be “healthy for Georgia’s democracy to have multiple parties in power.”12
The government decided to calm the summer protests by making political concessions, including the promise of a fully proportional electoral system for next year’s parliamentary elections. However, the ruling party backtracked on this point, sparking a new wave of citizen protests and attracting severe criticism from Georgia’s strategic partners. This November crisis precipitated dramatic negative shifts in public opinion. According to the National Democratic Institute (NDI) survey conducted in December 2019, the perception that the country is “going in the wrong direction” had increased to 53 percent, Georgia’s worst score on this measure in a decade.13 Moreover, a worrying 59 percent of respondents did not think of Georgia as a democracy—a dramatic shift in the past year.14
Throughout 2019, significant developments occurred in Georgia’s media landscape and judiciary. The process for recruiting new Supreme Court judges was criticized by the opposition and civil society as nontransparent and politically motivated. A number of notorious cases, such as money-laundering charges against the head of Georgia’s largest commercial bank as well as a family member associated with the government-critical TV Pirveli, raised further suspicions about the politicization of the justice system. In July, an ECtHR ruling confirmed a 2017 Supreme Court verdict enabling the transfer of ownership of the largest government-critical TV channel, Rustavi2, to its previous owner. Soon after the transfer, many critical journalists abandoned the outlet or were fired by the new director. Despite this major blow to critical outlets, the media landscape remained pluralistic and vibrant throughout the year, and several TV broadcasters, such as Pirveli and the newly founded Mtavari, continued to criticize the government.
The year was also marked by continued and increased activism from grassroots youth movements, and much of the political and social protests throughout 2019 were organized by youth groups and civic activists. As a result, voluntary activism became another significant layer to Georgia’s already vibrant and politically active civic sector. Several of the protests were nonpartisan and politically neutral, which made them harder to target by the government’s negative propaganda.
With the upcoming parliamentary elections in the fall, 2020 will be a decisive year for Georgia’s democracy. Should the country again fail to improve the quality of elections, the pattern of a stagnant hybrid regime will be more firmly established, with negative implications for Georgia’s European ambitions. The year will also be crucial for reshaping the political landscape. New parties and coalitions may emerge, with potential to shake up the status quo. Due to a more proportional electoral system, and a 1-percent electoral threshold, the new Parliament will probably be more pluralist, increasing the chances for having a coalition government and more pluralistic politics. However, increasing polarization and radicalism on the part of key political parties, which would most likely exclude coalition building with opponents, may hinder cohabitation and result in political crisis.
Considers the democratic character of the governmental system; and the independence, effectiveness, and accountability of the legislative and executive branches. | 2.50 / 7.00 |
Examines national executive and legislative elections, the electoral framework, the functioning of multiparty systems, and popular participation in the political process. | 3.25 / 7.00 |
Assesses the organizational capacity and financial sustainability of the civic sector; the legal and political environment in which it operates; the functioning of trade unions; interest group participation in the policy process; and the threat posed by antidemocratic extremist groups. | 4.25 / 7.00 |
Examines the current state of press freedom, including libel laws, harassment of journalists, and editorial independence; the operation of a financially viable and independent private press; and the functioning of the public media. | 3.75 / 7.00 |
Considers the decentralization of power; the responsibilities, election, and capacity of local governmental bodies; and the transparency and accountability of local authorities. | 2.75 / 7.00 |
Assesses constitutional and human rights protections, judicial independence, the status of ethnic minority rights, guarantees of equality before the law, treatment of suspects and prisoners, and compliance with judicial decisions. | 2.75 / 7.00 |
Looks at public perceptions of corruption, the business interests of top policymakers, laws on financial disclosure and conflict of interest, and the efficacy of anticorruption initiatives. | 3.50 / 7.00 |
The ratings reflect the consensus of Freedom House, its academic advisers, and the author(s) of this report. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the author(s). The ratings are based on a scale of 1 to 7, with 7 representing the highest level of democratic progress and 1 the lowest. The Democracy Score is an average of ratings for the categories tracked in a given year. The Democracy Percentage, introduced in 2020, is a translation of the Democracy Score to the 0–100 scale, where 0 equals least democratic and 100 equals most democratic.
GYLA, 2019, https://gyla.ge/index.php/en/post/koaliciam-damoukidebeli-da-gamtchvirv…
14 November, 2019,“ TI Georgia, 2019, https://transparency.ge/en/post/emergency-joint-statement-ngos
https://ge.usembassy.gov/u-s-embassys-statement-on-supreme-court-nomine…
https://ge.usembassy.gov/u-s-embassys-statement-on-supreme-court-nomine…
GYLA, 2019, https://gyla.ge/index.php/en/post/koaliciam-damoukidebeli-da-gamtchvirv…