Overview of the political situation, including information on the treatment of political party members and supporters by opponents (2010-2011) [NPL103942.E]

11 January 2012
 
NPL103942.E
 
Nepal: Overview of the political situation, including information on the treatment of political party members and supporters by opponents (2010-2011)
 
Research Directorate, Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada, Ottawa
Political Developments, 2010-2011
 
In 2010 and 2011, media sources and specialists in Nepali politics described the political situation in Nepal as a "political deadlock" (Xinhua 29 Nov. 2010; The Kathmandu Post 29 Nov. 2010; BBC 26 May 2011; AFP 29 Aug. 2011; The Telegraph 2 Nov. 2011; Freedom House 2011). Numerous sources have noted the challenges posed by the lack of consensus between political parties (Time 17 Aug. 2011; BBC 26 May 2011), as well as within them (ibid.; International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 1, 3; Freedom House 2011).
 
For example, Nepal's legislature, the Constituent Assembly, was elected in 2008 and tasked with drafting a new constitution (UN 30 Aug. 2011; Freedom House 2011; AFP 29 Aug. 2011). Its deadline to produce a constitution has passed and been extended four times: in May 2010, May 2011, August 2011 (UN 30 Aug. 2011), and November 2011 (The Hindu 29 Nov. 2011). According to media sources, the Supreme Court has ruled that the fourth extension will be the last (ibid.; The Kathmandu Post 25 Nov. 2011) and that the Constituent Assembly will be dissolved if it fails to draft a constitution (ibid.). The final deadline has been set for May 2012 (The Hindu 29 Nov. 2011).
 
In June 2010, Prime Minister Madhav Kumar Nepal, of the Unified Marxist-Leninist party (CPN-UML [or UML]) (Human Rights Watch Jan. 2011, 1), resigned his post (ibid.; BBC 30 Aug. 2011; Freedom House 2011). His resignation is reported to have been influenced by "pressure" from the Unified Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) (UCPN-M) (BBC 30 Aug. 2011; Human Rights Watch Jan. 2011, 1). According to Human Rights Watch, the Maoists, in parliamentary opposition since May 2009 (ibid. 20 Sept. 2011; BBC 30 Aug. 2011), had been demanding the formation of a unity government that they would lead (Human Rights Watch Jan. 2011, 1).
 
Following Prime Minister Nepal's resignation, the Constituent Assembly underwent 16 rounds of voting that failed to elect a prime minister (Xinhua 29 Nov. 2010; Europa World n.d.). Nepal remained without a prime minister until February 2011, when Jhalanath Kanal of the CPN-UML took the position (Time 17 Aug. 2011; AFP 29 Aug. 2011). Kanal resigned in August 2011, reportedly due to the lack of progress made on Nepal's peace process and the new constitution (ibid.; BBC 30 Aug. 2011). In August 2011, Baburam Bhattari of the Maoist party was elected prime minister (ibid.; AFP 29 Aug. 2011; UN 30 Aug. 2011), with the support of the Samyukta Loktantrik Madhesi Morcha [also called Madeshi People's Rights Forum (Democratic) party or Unified Democratic Madeshi Front or Morcha], an alliance of five parties based in the south (International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 1; AFP 29 Aug. 2011). Sources indicate that the Maoists have made an unofficial agreement with the Nepali Congress, the main opposition party (International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 1), which will allow the Congress party to lead the government after the constitution is drafted and until the next elections take place (ibid.; The Hindu 7 Nov. 2011; The Economist5 Nov. 2011).
 
A peace agreement was signed in November 2011 by the four main political parties (BBC 1 Nov. 2011; AFP 20 Nov. 2011). According to various sources, the agreement resolved the situation of the Maoist's 19,000 former fighters [People's Liberation Army (International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 18)] who had been staying in cantonments [military camps] since the end of the civil war (AFP 20 Nov. 2011; The Economist 5 Nov. 2011; The Telegraph 2 Nov. 2011). The agreement, which provided options for the former fighters' rehabilitation, retirement, or integration into the Nepalese Army (AFP 20 Nov. 2011; International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 4), has been described by media sources as a "breakthrough" (AFP 20 Nov. 2011; The Telegraph 2 Nov. 2011; The Hindu 7 Nov. 2011). Sources indicate that the unresolved issue of the former fighters had been the key obstacle to progress on the constitution (International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 2; The Hindu 7 Nov. 2011; The Economist 5 Nov. 2011).
 
According to the International Crisis Group, following the signing of the November 2011 agreement, "[t]he most critical constitutional issue" is restructuring Nepal into a federal state (13 Dec. 2011, 7). Sources indicate that issues of concern affecting the new constitution include greater representation and recognition of the country's various ethnic groups (Human Rights Watch 20 Sept. 2011), castes, and linguistic groups (International Crisis Group 13 Dec. 2011, 1), as well as the decentralization of the government (ibid.; Human Rights Watch 20 Sept. 2011).
Treatment of Political Party Members
 
According to the Asian Human Rights Commission (AHRC), "[the] extreme politicization of public life has resulted in increased reports of clashes among party cadres at the local level, contributing to deteriorating security in the country" (8 Dec. 2011, 7). Several organizations have reported on acts of violence allegedly committed by members of the Maoist party (Carter Center 4 Aug. 2011, 10; US 8 Apr. 2011, 5, 13, 16; Freedom House 2011). This violence reportedly includes attacks on political opponents (Carter Center 4 Aug. 2011, 10; US 8 Apr. 2011, 14). Journalists were also attacked and threatened with impunity during nationwide Maoist protests in May 2010 (ibid., 16; Freedom House 2011).
 
The Youth Communist League (YCL), the youth wing of the Maoist party (AHRC 8 Dec. 2011, 5), has also been reported to have attacked political opponents (US 8 Apr. 2011, 14; Freedom House 2011). Additionally, Freedom House indicates that the YCL has "meted out vigilante justice in rural areas" (ibid.). The US Department of State reports that, in the Terai region, Maoists and YCL members, as well as other "ethnically based splinter groups … frequently committed acts of violence, extortion, and intimidation" in 2010 (8 Apr. 2011, 13).
 
The AHRC also reports, however, that political party members, particularly Maoists, were the target of killings in the Terai region in 2011 (8 Dec. 2011, 7). Similarly, the Carter Center, a non-governmental organization founded by former US president Jimmy Carter to promote global peace and health (Carter Center n.d.), reports that Maoist cadres and leaders seem to "have been disproportionately targeted" by armed-group violence in the Terai region (ibid. 4 Aug. 2011, 4).
 
Nevertheless, a study conducted by the Carter Center found "broad consensus" that, although incidents of political violence remain, political space in Nepal has opened up since the 2008 Constituent Assembly elections, and that political parties were generally "able to conduct [their] public and internal events without interference" (ibid., 3, 4). This assessment is corroborated by the US Department of State (8 Apr. 2011, 24). Additionally, according to the AHRC, under the terms of the peace agreement signed in November 2011, the YCL is to be dismantled (8 Dec. 2011, 5).
 
According to the US Department of State, the Maoists' parallel government structures and courts continued to function in 2010 in some regions, particularly in rural areas, although they were to have been dismantled in 2007 (US 8 Apr. 2011, 11). The same source states that Maoists also expected decisions and sentences previously made in their courts to be carried out (ibid.). Sources report that an agreement made between the Maoist party and its coalition partners in August 2011 includes a commitment to withdraw criminal cases against individuals affiliated with the Maoist party and other groups (Human Rights Watch 20 Sept. 2011; AHRC 8 Dec. 2011, 15). The agreement also reportedly declared general amnesty for crimes committed during the conflict period (ibid.). In November 2011, the Government of Nepal reportedly recommended that Balkrishna Dhungel, an elected member of the Constituent Assembly and a member of the Maoist party (Advocacy Forum-Nepal 9 Nov. 2011) who was convicted of murder, be granted amnesty (ibid.; AHRC 8 Dec. 2011, 16-17).
 
This Response was prepared after researching publicly accessible information currently available to the Research Directorate within time constraints. This Response is not, and does not purport to be, conclusive as to the merit of any particular claim for refugee protection. Please find below the list of sources consulted in researching this Information Request.
References
 
Advocacy Forum-Nepal. 9 November 2011. "Government Pressured for Refraining from Amnesty to Dhungel." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Agence France-Presse (AFP). 20 November 2011. Deepak Adhikari. "New Life Begins for Nepal's Maoist Ex-Rebels." (Reliefweb) [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. 29 August 2011. Depak Adhikari. "Nepal Elects Maoist PM Who Vows to End Deadlock." (Reliefweb) [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Asian Human Rights Commission (AHRC). 8 December 2011. The State of Human Rights in Nepal in 2011. (Reliefweb) [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC). 1 November 2011. "Nepal Parties Agree Final Part of Landmark Peace Deal." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. 30 August 2011. "Nepal Profile." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. 26 May 2011. "Nepal's Political Deadlock Reaches Crisis Point." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Carter Center. 4 August 2011. Political Space in Nepal: An Assessment of Recent Changes and Future Challenges. [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. N.d. "Our Mission." [Accessed 23 Dec. 2011]
 
The Economist. 5 November 2011. "Peace, in Your Own Time." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Europa World Online. N.d. "The Collapse of the Maoist Government and the Ensuing Political Crisis (Nepal)." London: Routledge. [Accessed 16 Dec. 2011]
 
Freedom House. 2011. "Nepal." Freedom in the World 2011. [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
The Hindu [Madras]. 29 November 2011. Prashant Jha. "Last Extension to Write Constitution in Nepal." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. 7 November 2011. "Breatkthrough in Nepal." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Human Rights Watch. 20 September 2011. "Nepal: Wrong Trail, Right Track." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. January 2011. "Nepal." World Report 2011: Events of 2010. [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
International Crisis Group. 13 December 2011. Nepal's Peace Process: The Endgame Nears. Asia Briefing No. 131. [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
The Kathmandu Post. 29 November 2010. "Expert on Nepal Denies India Role in Political Stalemate." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
_____. 25 November 2011. Kamal Raj Sigdel. "Supreme Court Gives CA a 'Last Chance'." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
The Telegraph [London]. 2 November 2011. "Nepal Maoists Hail 'Historic' Deal as Path to Peace." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Time. 17 August 2011. Ishaan Tharoor. "No End in Sight for Nepal's Political Dysfunction." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
United Nations (UN). 30 August 2011. Integrated Regional Information Networks (IRIN). "Nepal: Timeline of the Constitution Dilemma." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
United States (US). 8 April 2011. Department of State. "Nepal." Country Reports on Human Rights Practices for 2010. [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
 
Xinhua News Agency. 29 November 2010. Punjita Pradhan. "Political Deadlock in Nepal to Be Continued." [Accessed 21 Dec. 2011]
Additional Sources Consulted
 
Internet sites, including: Austrian Centre for Country of Origin and Asylum Research and Documentation, Amnesty International, European Country of Origin Information Network, Factiva, The Guardian, The Himalayan Times, International IDEA, Nepal Human Rights News, NepalResearch, Nepal Constituent Assembly, Nepal Study Center, Nepali Times, PoliticalResources on the Net, South Asia Terrorism Portal, Times of India, United Nations Nepal Information Platform.

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