Document #1019798
IRB – Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada (Author)
Faisalabad is located in the Punjab, the
provincial seat of Benazir Bhutto's principal political opponent,
Nawaz Sharif. The provincial police would be under the jurisdiction
of the Islami Jamhoori Ittehad (IJI, or Islamic Democratic
Alliance, IDA), which won power in Punjab elections in 1988. The
following information highlights the political situation in
Pakistan and, particularly, in the Punjab. As noted below, the
Punjab police entered PPP headquarters in Rawalpindi and arrested
one of Bhutto's staff. [ Ahmed Rashid, "War of nerves", Far
Eastern Economic Review, 16 March 1989, p. 24.] In October
1989, The Economist reported that federal officials (PPP)
have been arrested in Punjab (where the IDA is in power), and
Punjab officials have, in turn, been harassed in Islamabad. ["The
Difficult Bit: Premier Bhutto Faces Problems in Pakistan", The
Economist, 21 October 1989.]
Zia ul-Haq initiated a policy of the
gradual Islamisation of Pakistan. [ Anthony Hyman, "The waning of
Benazir's honeymoon", The Middle East, May 1989, p. 5, and
A. Hyman, "Benazir inherits a divided country", The Middle
East, January 1989, p. 17.] Under Zia ul-Haq, Pakistan's
"domestic policies reflected the president's Islamic faith, and
Islamic laws and customs were elevated to a prominence that
formerly had prevailed only in the most orthodox circles." [ Henry
Kamm, "Army likely to claim ruler's vast powers", New York
Times, 18 August 1988.] Islamic groups fearing a reversal of
Islamisation actively revived Islamic sentiment shortly after Zia's
death. ["Power up for grabs", p. 13.] For example, fundamentalists
organized rallies against Salman Rushdie's book, and urged the
government to bring him to Pakistan to be publicly hanged. ["War of
Nerves", p. 24.]
The death of Zia ul-Haq, on 17 August 1988,
created the opportunity to hold national elections, but there was
speculation that his death might also open the door for another
military coup. However, democracy prevailed, elections were
scheduled for 16 November, and the parties began to organize their
strategies.
The Pakistan Muslim League (PML) was the
dominant political party in Pakistan from 1986 until 29 May 1988,
when Zia ul-Haq dissolved the government of (former) Prime Minister
Mohammed Khan Junejo (PML party). Before the end of August 1988,
the PML had broken into two factions. [ "Pakistan Moslem League
breaks into two factions", Globe and Mail, 27 August 198;
Husain Haqqani, "Shifting Sands of Patronage", Far Eastern
Economic Review, 22 September 1988, p. 35; Husain Haqqani,
"Power up for Grabs", Far Eastern Economic Review, 1
September 1988, p. 12.] The two groups were the "Fida" faction (led
by Mr. Fida Muhammad Khan, the former governor of the North-West
Frontier Provinces, and Mr Nawaz Sharif, the Chief Minister of
Punjab province), and the "Junejo" faction (led by former Prime
Minister Mohammed Khan Junejo). The Junejo group joined with the
Tehrik-i-Istiqlal and the Jamaat-i Ulemi-i Pakistan
on October 9 to form the Pakistan Awami Tehrik (PPA,
Pakistan People's Alliance). [ Keesing's Record of World
Events, Volume XXXIV, December 1988, p. 36347.] The stated aim
of the PPA was to work for an Islamic, welfare, parliamentary
system. [ Ibid.] The Fida faction had joined with seven other
parties and groups to form the Islami Jamhoori Ittehad (IJI,
or Islamic Democratic Alliance, IDA). The other parties in the IDA
included the Jamaati-i Islami, the National People's
Party, the Jamiatul Ulema-e Islam (Darkhwasty Group),
the Markazi Jamaat-i Ahle Hadith (Lakvi Group), Jamaat-ul
Mashaikh (Sahebzada Fazle Haq Group), Hizbe Jihad, the
Azad Group, and the Nizami-i Mustafa Group. [ Ibid.]
On 15 October 1988, the Junejo PML faction joined the IDA, and its
former alliance partners formed the Pakistan Awami Ittehad.
[ Ibid.]
The Pakistan People's Party (PPP), led by
Benazir Bhutto, received the most seats during the 16 November
elections. However, because the PPP did not have the majority of
seats, Ms. Bhutto entered into discussions with smaller parties to
form a coalition government. Ultimately, the Mohajir Quami Movement
(MQM) added its 13 seats to the PPP's. [ "The Choice of the
Nation", Asiaweek, 16 December 1988, p. 24.] There are 237
seats in the National Assembly, of which 205 were contested. [
"Bhutto does her Arithmetic", Asiaweek, 2 December 1988, p.
26. Thirty seats are reserved for women and minorities, and two
seats were deferred due to the death of candidates. ] The PPP won
92 seats, and the second place rival, the Islamic Democratic
Alliance, led by Nawaz Sharif, won 55 seats, but the Pakistan Awami
Ittehad gained only three. [ Ibid. Keesing's (below)
maintains that the IDA won 54 seats. Ahmed Rashid, "Testing time,
again", Far Eastern Economic Review, 26 January 1989, (the
Keesing's article indicates 93).] Nawaz Sharif was the only
leader of the IDA to gain a seat in the national assembly. [
Keesing's, p. 36348.] The distribution of the remaining
seats is described in the attached article from Keesing's Record
of World Events, (December 1988, p. 36348).
The results of the provincial elections
proved even more inconclusive. The Chief Ministers of Sindh and
North-West Frontier Province are both PPP members. In Baluchistan,
however, the IDA candidate forged a shaky alliance with the PPP to
become the Chief Minister, and in Punjab, the IDA has firm control
of the provincial assembly, with Nawaz Sharif as the Chief
Minister. [ Rashid, Ahmed, "The Morning After", Far Eastern
Economic Review, 15 December 1988, p. 14.] This is the first
time in Pakistan's history that different parties have controlled
the National Assembly and the Punjab provincial assembly. The IDA
has 108 seats to the PPP's 94 in the Punjab provincial assembly, [
"Testing time, again", 26 January 1989.] and Sharif won an
important vote of confidence in the Punjab provincial assembly on
13 March 1989. [ "Friends and foes", 30 March 1989; Fact on File,
21 April 1989, p. 277.] In the past, he has called for a jihad
(holy war) against Bhutto, and more recently has been accused of
"masterminding the Islamic fundamentalist protests against the
government" over the Rushdie affair. [ "War of Nerves", 16 March
1989, p. 23.] The IDA control of Punjab province is seen as a
serious challenge to Bhutto's national government because the
Punjab is a rich region with almost two-thirds of the country's 100
million people. Punjabis have considerable influence in political,
military, and business circles. [ Ibid.]
The military have allegedly supported the
IDA and Sharif in a bid to maintain a political balance of power
and restrain Bhutto's government. [ "War of nerves", 16 March 1989
p. 24; "Friends and foes", 30 March 1989, p. 28.] An incident
reported in March highlights the confidence the IDA feels with
respect to its mandate to govern in Punjab province. The Punjab
police arrested one of Bhutto's staff at the PPP Rawalpindi office
for making "objectionable speeches" against Sharif, but it is not
known what form, if any, government reprisal took, as Sharif denied
having ordered the raid. [ "War of nerves", p. 24.]
The Muslim fundamentalist challenge to Ms.
Bhutto's legitimacy became most vocal at an Islamic conference in
Rawalpindi on 27 February, when some of the Muslims in attendance
denounced Bhutto as being in violation of the Koran. [ Facts on
File, 21 April 1989, p. 278.] The Mullahs (Muslim religious
leaders) condemned the liberalization and secularism of Bhutto's
government, and the edict they issued prohibits women from
occupying positions of leadership in Islamic nations. [ Ahmed
Rashid, "War of Nerves", Far Eastern Economic Review, 16
March 1989, p. 24. Other Mullahs present condemned the rulings as
an effort to destabilize the government.] In response to the edict,
Ms. Bhutto declared that the government would repeal all laws
discriminatory to women of Pakistan and verbally condemned the
mullahs responsible. [ "War of Nerves".]
On 1 November, Prime Minister Bhutto won a
vote of no-confidence in the National Assembly, with a slim margin
of only 12 votes. As some of the attached articles from the Far
Eastern Economic Review indicate, the IDA has been gaining
power at the federal level, and Prime Minister Bhutto must step
carefully around Islamic interests.
Please find the results of a database
search attached. Very few articles pertaining to the arrest of PPP
organizers were retrieved:
-Zahid Hussain, "Supporters Rally for
Bhutto; Pakistan", Times, 27 October 1989;
Bryan Wilder, "Pakistani Premier Bhutto
Faces Biggest Political Crisis of Her Tenure", Associated
Press, 26 October 1989;
-
"The Difficult Bit: Premier Bhutto Faces
Problems in Pakistan", The Economist, 21 October 1989.
Keesing's Record of World Events,
Volume XXXIV, December 1988, pp. 36347-36348.
-
Ahmed Rashid, "War of nerves", Far
Eastern Economic Review, 16 March 1989;
-
Salamat Ale, "Bhutto Battles on Against
Formidable Odds: First Year Report", Far Eastern Economic
Review, 4 January 1990;
-
"Opposition Provinces Demand More
Autonomy", Far Eastern Economic Review, 4 January 1990;
-
Salamat Ali, "Indo-Pak River Dispute
Becomes a Domestic Issue: Propaganda Barrage", Far Eastern
Economic Review, 21 December 1989;
-
Salamat Ali, "Bhutto Wins the Battle,
but not the War: Breathing Space", Far Eastern Economic
Review, 16 November 1989;
-
Salamat Ali, "Parties Use Extreme
Measures to Ensure Loyalty: Politicians in Purdah", Far Eastern
Economic Review, 16 November 1989;
-
Salamat Ali, "Punjabi Opposition Flexes
its Muscles: A Showdown Looms", Far Eastern Economic Review,
5 October 1989;
-
Salamat Ali, "The Sindh Government is
Paralysed by Ethnic Disorder: Polarised Politics", Far Eastern
Economic Review, 21 September 1989
Please find some additional articles
attached, which relate to the situation in Punjab during September
1989. In particular, the article entitled "Officials Praise Bhutto,
Criticize Punjab Chief" ([Islamabad], in Urdu,
FBIS-NES-89-173, 8 September 1989, p. 55) mentions an
interview by the chief of the People's Party in Punjab, Fakhr
Zaman, in which he criticizes the Punjab chief minister "for
implicating People's Party members and and workers in baseless
litigations".
The accompanying articles reflect the
growing tensions between the PPP and the Punjab authorities.