Nations in Transit 2024 - Bosnia and Herzegovina

TRANSITIONAL OR HYBRID REGIME
36
/ 100
Democracy Percentage 36.31 / 100
Democracy Score 3.18 / 7
LAST YEAR'S DEMOCRACY PERCENTAGE & STATUS
37 / 100 Transitional or Hybrid Regime
The ratings are based on a scale of 1 to 7, with 7 representing the highest level of democratic progress and 1 the lowest. The Democracy Score is an average of ratings for the categories tracked in a given year. The Democracy Percentage, introduced in 2020, is a translation of the Democracy Score to the 0-100 scale, where 0 equals least democratic and 100 equals most democratic. See the methodology.
 

Author

  • Neven Anđelić

Score changes in 2024

  • Independent Media rating declined from 3.25 to 3.00 due to the rise in hate speech and physical attacks against journalists in recent years, the recriminalization of defamation in the Republika Srpska (RS) entity in 2023, the adoption of the draft law on foreign agents in the same entity, and other efforts by local authorities to restrict freedom of expression.
  • As a result, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Democracy Score declined from 3.21 to 3.18.

Executive Summary

The international community’s involvement in Bosnia and Herzegovina after the breakup of Yugoslavia in the 1990s secured peace but never established a liberal democracy. The consociationalist model established by the Dayton Peace Agreement that ended the 1992–95 Bosnian War, which reorganized the state into two autonomous entities—the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, dominated by ethnic Bosniaks and Croats, and the Serb-dominated Republika Srpska—operating under a weak central government, brought relative security to the country but left governance unstable. Ethnonationalist patronage and power networks have since cemented a communitarian model of democracy reliant on constant populist mobilization. The result is that three parallel ethnic societies exist separately within one state. Despite some gains at the local level in recent years, non-nationalist political forces are too weak to reverse the process of autocratization. Bosnia and Herzegovina also maintains democratic features, including the de jure division of competencies among the branches of government, deeply decentralized state structures, regular elections, and the existence of independent media (albeit under political influence). In sum, the resulting model is a hybrid regime with a mix of autocratic and democratic features.

While the functioning of democracy at the state and regional levels has improved in some regards following the October 2022 general elections, the complexity of the system provides to be an obstacle in creating governing majorities. The processes of forming governments continued at all levels deep into 2023; the government in Herzegovina-Neretva Canton, for instance, was formed more than a year after the elections, succeeding a government that was operating in a placeholder capacity, i.e. ruling with a “technical mandate” for the past five years since the previous elections when they were not able to form a majority. In general, government formation processes were open to manipulation and ruling coalitions in some cases were short-lived, creating additional obstacles to good governance. Institutions are weak even in communities where the supposedly non-nationalist forces have won past elections. For example, in the state capital of Sarajevo, Mayor Benjamina Karić frequently abuses her position to silence certain movements and causes—as when she has refused initiatives from the LGBT+ communities, or declared a day of mourning because of a murder in another city and thus forced the temporary suspension of the Sarajevo Film Festival—while refusing to consider any criticism of her actions.1

The candidate status granted to Bosnia and Herzegovina by the European Union (EU) in December 2022 belied the lack of progress in democratic and economic reforms. Bosnian civil society worried throughout 2023 that the EU’s decision could make it appear that Bosnia and Herzegovina’s governing apparatus is genuinely trying to bring the country closer to the EU’s standards.2 In reality, while all Bosnian political actors declare readiness for European integration, the necessary reforms are stalled by the same actors’ inaction, obstruction, and active boycotts of politics. The EU announced 14 priorities for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2019, but by December 2023 only one had been achieved.3 Despite this, the EU granted the country contingent/conditional approval that month to open accession negotiations in 2024.

In 2023, officials in the Republika Srpska entity went beyond their usual boycott of state institutions and instead undermined the country’s very constitutional order by passing laws blocking the implementation of decisions by High Representative Christian Schmidt, the internationally appointed official who oversaw the implementation of the Dayton Agreement, and judgements by Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Constitutional Court judgements in RS territory.4 Despite the high representative’s subsequent annulment of the legislation5 and amendment of the nation’s criminal code to make such actions illegal, RS president Milorad Dodik issued decrees to affirm all laws passed by the entity’s assembly.6 Accordingly, the state prosecutor brought criminal charges against Dodik for defying the high representative. Dodik’s trial started in October 2023 in Sarajevo, although it was postponed several times due to procedural maneuvers initiated by the defense, including unsuccessful requests to move the trial to the RS’s de facto capital of Banja Luka. Never before had Dodik gone this far in challenging the state and its institutions—he had previously challenged the state’s authority verbally but had always stopped short of taking criminal action.

Besides his actions against Schmidt and the Constitutional Court, Dodik also ratcheted up his rhetoric promoting RS secession throughout 2023, a process that has been ongoing for several years prior. He continued to advocate for the Republika Srpska gaining independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina and joining Serbia, and spoke openly about the “Serbian World”—an irredentist ideology with parallels to the “Russian World” concept promoted by Russian president Vladimir Putin. At the same time, Dodik antagonized liberal-democratic–minded politicians and citizens by awarding a medal of honor to Putin,7 and by adopting a defamation law that recriminalizes libel in the RS despite protests and warnings from media, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), and international organizations.8 RS authorities initiated parliamentary discussions on a “foreign agents” law that would further restrict the ability of independent media to inform the public and put additional pressure on civil society. The draft law, RS civil society activists claim, is in many ways modeled on similar legislation in undemocratic countries with the aim of quashing dissent in the Republika Srpska.9

Children in three cantons continued their education segregated along ethnic lines through the practice known as “two schools under one roof.” Disrespect and vandalism of monuments commemorating civilian—mainly non-Bosniak—victims who were brutally murdered during the 92-95 siege of Sarajevo went unanswered. Meanwhile, in Mostar, local authorities did not make any progress in discovering who carried out the destruction of hundreds of memorial stones in the city’s Partisans Memorial Cemetery, which honored the Yugoslav antifascist resistance fighters who died in World War II.

In 2023, High Representative Schmidt used his authority to impose 11 decisions upon Bosnia and Herzegovina’s authorities, underlining the dysfunction and lack of capacity and will in Bosnian institutions that require his interventions to prevent further deterioration of processes. Among the decisions he imposed were amendments to the criminal laws of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the RS, and the FBiH, as well as several decisions to prevent laws and decisions adopted by the RS parliament from coming into force.10

In an August 2023 ruling, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) found that Bosnia Herzegovina’s electoral process was discriminatory, adding to a number of judgements since December 2009 that required the country to change its constitution and electoral laws in order to provide equal rights to all citizens.11 However, four election cycles have passed since the first of those court decisions, without an effort by the government to pass a law that would address any of the prior judgements. Following the 2021 expiration of the mandate of a Bosnian judge serving on the ECHR, the presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina—the three-member body that collectively serves as the country’s head of state—has failed to name candidates to replace the outgoing judge on the court for two years, and has left the Council of Europe without Bosnian experts for several years, illustrating the incompetence of Bosnian authorities and their general disregard for democratic norms and values.

Independent media and the civic sector have a strong presence in Bosnian society, but local and national governments largely disregard their activities. Despite the consultative framework in place that should allow the civic sector to play a role in decision-making processes, in practice its participation is “sporadic, inconsistent and not substantial,” according to one report by a local organization.12

Femicide remained a serious issue in Bosnian society in 2023. On several occasions in Bosnian cities, citizens took to the streets to express anger and demand legislation to protect victims. However, the governing structures only paid lip service to combatting violence against women. In one indicative case, the owner of a hotel in Jablanica was sentenced to only 10 months’ imprisonment for brutally beating and severely injuring a female employee in August 2023. (The prosecution has said that it would appeal his sentence.) While Borjana Krišto in January 2023 became the first woman to chair the Council of Ministers—Bosnia and Herzegovina’s decentralized, state-level government—and another woman sits on the presidency, gender discrimination remains rampant. Only 17 percent of the seats in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s parliament are held by women.13

Independent media outlets have trouble selling advertising because advertisers want to avoid offending the governing elites that grant contracts and provide jobs. Editorial decisions by public service broadcasters often accommodate the political views of governing institutions. The state-level public broadcaster, Bosnian-Herzegovinian Radio Television (BHRT), is in a dire situation financially because the RS is not paying its contribution, while large parts of the FBiH are not collecting license fees. Bosnia and Herzegovina has a huge number of media outlets, more than can be supported by the size of its market, and most of them are controlled by governments at different levels.

The judiciary rarely picks up on reports of corruption and mismanagement by ruling structures published by independent media and civic organizations. Several judges serving on the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina and prosecutors from the state Prosecutor’s Office have been suspended from their duties and are under disciplinary investigation, while the president of the court, Ranko Debevec, was arrested alongside former Intelligence-Security Agency (OSA) head Osman Mehmedagić Osmica for allegedly tapping phones of other judges and prosecutors and participating in a conspiracy. Mehmedagić is closely associated with Bakir Izetbegović, the head of the Bosniak nationalist Party of Democratic Action (SDA) and a former Bosniak member of the state presidency, and his wife Sebija Izetbegović, an SDA representative on the Sarajevo Canton assembly. He had been sanctioned by the United States in March 2023 for allegedly abusing his power to benefit the SDA.14

In the Republika Srpska, Dodik was already under US sanctions, and the United States added four more leading politicians to its sanctions list in 2023: Željka Cvijanović, a member of the state presidency; the president of the entity’s parliament, Nenad Stevandić; RS prime minister Radovan Višković; and RS justice minister Miloš Bukejlović.15 The US government later added Dodik’s children to the sanctions list, stating that “Dodik has increased the involvement of his son, Igor Dodik (Igor), and daughter, Gorica Dodik (Gorica), in political and business activities within the RS, causing concern that the RS was becoming more like a Dodik family business rather than a political entity of BiH.”16

At-A Glance

Leading ethnonationalist political parties in general, and especially Dodik’s Serb nationalist Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD), frequently block governance at the national and entity levels by abusing checks and balances prescribed in the Dayton Peace Agreement. Elections are followed by lengthy negotiations to form governing coalitions that often prove, at different levels of governance, to be unworkable. The civic sector is under pressure from governments that prevents involvement in decision-making processes. The saturated media space in the country does not provide for diverse information sources, suffers from low reporting standards, and is often influenced by ruling political groups. Several local mayors and former mayors have been arrested, reflecting the widespread practice at the local level of mayors assuming control over communities and degrading democratic processes to bolster their power. While some judicial institutions are showing signs of attempting to secure their independence, several judges and prosecutors remain suspended awaiting lengthy disciplinary procedures president of the state court under arrest and the Constitutional Court running out of judges as the processes of naming new ones have been blocked. Corruption remains rampant, as evidenced this year by the US Department of Treasury sanctioning 12 more politicians and businesspeople for corruption, malign influences, or involvement in organized crime.

 
National Democratic Governance 1.00-7.00 pts
Considers the democratic character of the governmental system; and the independence, effectiveness, and accountability of the legislative and executive branches. 1.75 / 7.00
  • Political elites in power, and in the Republika Srpska in particular, often use complex systems of governance to block or push through policies depending on their parties' interest. The Office of the High Representative (OHR), which has the authority to impose legislation and remove officials, among other powers, oversees functioning of the state. In a controversial move, High Representative Schmidt used these powers in 2022 to address the electoral process, and again in 2023 to enable the formation of the government in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina.17
  • In January 2023, the Council of Ministers formed a coalition government after the previous year’s election. While agreeing on the coalition was challenging, the day-to-day working of the new government proved even more difficult. The major sticking point in the Council was competing positions towards North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) membership and EU integration. One of the many examples of clashes was when Finance and Treasury Minister Srđan Amidžić, an ethnic Serb from the SNSD, quarreled with Defense Minister Zukan Helez, an ethnic Bosniak from the Social Democratic Party (SDP), over the defense budget in September.18 The general tendency of the SNSD is to deprive state institutions of larger budgets, thus undermining a stronger state, while the Sarajevo-based political parties are often inclined to increase budgets to the state-level ministries. The defense establishment, once glorified for successfully integrating various armies and ethnically based structures in the aftermath of the Bosnian War, has again come again under pressure as officials push their different views and positions on the future of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Shortly after Helez’s dispute with Amidžić, he clashed with International Trade and Economic Relations Minister Staša Košarac,19 another ethnic Serb from the SNSD, over a visit by NATO officials to the country.20 Even a minor incident within the Bosnian armed forces involving an assault by one soldier on another, brought conflicting responses from a minister and his deputy on whether the attack was ethnically motivated.21
  • The three members of the presidency opposed each other on foreign policy issues throughout the year. They all named their own ambassadors, bogging down the operations of the Bosnian foreign service with redundancy.22 The presidency members’ disagreements around cooperation with NATO and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East also spilled into the public domain. Denis Bećirović, the Bosniak member of the presidency, argued in public with Željka Cvijanović, the Serb member and chairwoman of the presidency at the time, in January 2023 on the country’s NATO prospects, which Cvijanović opposes.23 Cvijanović issued a statement against Bećirović and Željko Komšić, the Croat member, when the two presidency members visited Ukraine in August.24 In October, Komšić criticized Council Chairwoman Krišto’s statement25 condemning attacks on Israel by the Palestinian terrorist group Hamas for not also referring to the mistreatment of Palestinians by the Israeli government.26 The presidency has failed to name candidates for judicial appointment at the ECHR, and expert committee, or commission posts at the Council of Europe; it is the only member state not participating fully in the works of the Council.27
  • In the FBiH, the formation of a governing coalition was effectively blocked when vice president Refik Lendo, whose SDA was not one of the three parties that had arrived at a coalition agreement, refused to give the mandate to the agreed-upon coalition leader, SDP President Nermin Nikšić.28 The FBiH’s constitution allows an individual member of the FBiH’s leadership (president and two vice-presidents, each from a different ethnic group) to block the formation of a government in order to prevent the imposition of decisions against the will of one ethnic group; Lendo was acting on behalf of one political party, though—albeit a nationalist one—and not an ethnic group. The stalemate was broken in April 2023 when the high representative’s decision to change the necessary legislation and impose new rules made Lendo’s refusal irrelevant and enabled the approval of a new government. However, deputies from the SDA and the Democratic Front (DF) boycotted the vote, claiming the process was illegitimate. Despite the boycott, there were just enough votes in favor to elect the government. The weak federal governing coalition lost its majority in several cantons after individual representatives switched party affiliations or political parties shifted their support at the local level. The system’s emphasis on decentralized governance directly undermined the position of the federal government led by Nikšić.
  • In June, the Republika Srpska’s assembly passed laws that invalidate decisions imposed by the Office of the High Representative29 and judgements by the state’s Constitutional Court in the entity’s territory, thereby undermining Bosnia and Herzegovina’s constitutional order. High Representative Schmidt annulled these laws in a counterdecision in July,30 and imposed changes to the criminal code of Bosnia and Herzegovina making the non-execution of his decisions a criminal offence.31 However, Republika Srpska president Dodik continued to defy Schmidt, issuing two decrees later that month affirming the RS’s legal changes.32 The state prosecutor subsequently charged Dodik with criminal offences, and the trial started in October with defense putting forward demands to disqualify and replace judges and move the trial to Banja Luka. As well as attempting to nullify official actions taken at the national level, Dodik and other RS representatives continued to embrace divisive rhetoric throughout the year and question the legitimacy and functionality of the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina.33
Electoral Process 1.00-7.00 pts
Examines national executive and legislative elections, the electoral framework, the functioning of multiparty systems, and popular participation in the political process. 4.50 / 7.00
  • As 2023 represented a gap between general and local elections, major political parties concentrated on new legislation and electoral reforms. Bosnian politicians have debated the changes necessary to prevent discrimination in the electoral process that have been debated since 2009, when the European Court of Human Rights made its first decision on the subject in the case of Sejdić and Finci v. Bosnia and Herzegovina.34 That decision and several subsequent rulings35 that held that Bosnian electoral law is discriminatory against “persons not affiliated with the constituent peoples in Bosnia and Herzegovina or those failing to meet a combination of the requirements of ethnic origin and place of residence as regards their right to stand for election to the House of Peoples and the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina,” in the words of a 2021 Council of Ministers resolution—that is, persons not declaring themselves to be either Bosniaks, Serbs, or Croats—or candidates attempting to stand for election in areas where their personal ethnicity differs from the local majority36 have yet to be implemented despite increased demands by domestic political actors and the international community for these electoral changes to occur.37
  • The latest case to reach the ECHR this year was Kovačević v. Bosnia and Herzegovina, which was a strong indictment of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s electoral framework and added urgency to the need for electoral reform. This case is based specifically on discriminatory legislation restricting voting rights, in particular by restricting choice of candidates. The person bringing the case was challenging his inability to vote for an ethnic Serb for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s presidency because he lived in the FBiH and not in the RS; the same restriction also prevented RS citizens from choosing Bosniak or Croat candidates. The ECHR held in August that this situation was discriminatory, reconfirming the incompatibility of the Dayton Agreement’s ethnically based power-sharing arrangements with the European Convention on Human Rights and the principle of all citizens’ equality.38 Reactions to the ruling showed political actors’ polarized positions on electoral reform; it was “welcomed by the proponents of a civic Bosnia and Herzegovina as a foundation for future reforms, while the representatives of ethnic parties criticized it for, as they interpreted it, trying to erase the category of constituent peoples,” according to a regional think tank. RS president Dodik said, “BiH based on a civic principle cannot survive. Yugoslavia could not do it, Belgium cannot do it now.” The nationalist Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) released a statement saying, “The Croatian National Assembly believes that certain interpretations of the ruling ‘Kovačević v. Bosnia and Herzegovina’ and other rulings passed as a result of the political activism of unitarian politicians from Bosnia and Herzegovina before the European Court of Human Rights cannot call into question the equality of Croats, Bosniaks and Serbs.”39
  • The ECHR’s ruling poses potential challenges to the HDZ BiH’s consistent argument that that candidates from the ethnic Croat community—the smallest of the three constituent peoples—were disadvantaged by Bosnia and Herzegovina’s current arrangement, as races for Croat seats on the presidency and some local councils were being determined by votes from the numerically superior Bosniak population. HDZ BiH has continued to press for electoral reforms to address the ethnic Croat community’s numerical disadvantage by, in essence, requiring the winning candidate to have a majority of votes in cantons dominated by Croats.
  • International ambassadors on the Peace Implementation Council, an international body supporting the implementation of the Dayton Agreement through the high representative, called attention to Bosnia and Herzegovina’s lack of progress in updating its electoral framework in an October statement, criticizing state authorities for failing “to bring the Election Law in line with international standards on transparency and integrity of electoral processes and good practices for democratic elections.”40 Progress remains stalled because all parties obstruct the process and show little, if any, will to reach a compromise, thus further polarising their original antagonistic positions.
  • In its October 2023 announcement of sanctions against RS president Dodik’s children in October, the US government charged that “the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD), including Dodik and [his son] Igor, conspired to bribe political officials, polling station members, and election observers in effort to corruptly win the election.” The statement added that “Igor engaged in bribery of opposition politicians, who were offered political appointments in exchange for critical information and election observer positions at polling locations.”41
Civil Society 1.00-7.00 pts
Assesses the organizational capacity and financial sustainability of the civic sector; the legal and political environment in which it operates; the functioning of trade unions; interest group participation in the policy process; and the threat posed by antidemocratic extremist groups. 4.25 / 7.00
  • In 2018, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Ministry of Justice had announced with great ceremony three new websites that would purportedly provide information on civil society organizations. Two of these websites do not currently work. The third lists the overall number of NGOs and foundations at 25,646, but that tally has not been updated since at least 2022, and more likely since 2018, when the websites were first unveiled and the initial project of setting up the register of such organizations was completed. The Ministry of Justice is responsible for collecting civil society organizations’ financial reports, but it has been unable to do so for several years because entity- and canton-level legislation does not align with state-level and international requirements. Civil society organizations have not been provided with adequate information about their obligations to submit reports, leading to a lack of proper reporting across the sector.42
  • Public institutions did not create mechanisms to improve the protection of activists in 2023. The current legislation is vague and open to interpretation by local authorities. In January 2023, civil society organizations initiated a process to adopt stricter legislation protecting activists and people involved in citizens’ initiatives in the FBiH.43 The initiative was launched due to ongoing pressure on activists, especially environmental activists, including strategic lawsuits against public participation (SLAPPs), physical and verbal threats from companies and businesspeople, and unreasonable demands by local authorities.44
  • In March 2023, several activists were violently attacked and injured by a group of what one of the victims said were “hooligans” in Banja Luka, hours after the police banned an LGBT+ rights event planned by several groups. The attack represented a serious deterioration in the environment facing activists in the RS.45 Adding to the threat against the entity’s nongovernmental sector and civil society, the activists were attacked outside the local offices of the influential NGO Transparency International, which has brought legal cases against RS institutions and officials.
  • Civic organizations connected to political parties continue to dilute Bosnia and Herzegovina’s civic sector, providing a smokescreen for government actions masked as civil society. Some parties tried to capitalize in April on the groups of citizens protesting before the OHR building in Sarajevo over the imposed changes to the Electoral Law. The protests appeared to be organized informally by a coalition of interest groups (some linked to political parties) which feared that the changes would restrict the influence of “civic parties” to only Bosniak-dominated territory.46 However, Bosniak nationalist political parties exploited these apparently grassroots protests to serve as evidence that the electoral changes disadvantaged Bosniaks.
  • Environmental activism remains one of the most vibrant forms of resistance in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Two activist groups, the Aarhus Centres and Greens Neretva (Zeleni Neretva), supported by local citizens living near the Neretvica River, succeeded in legally forcing the public power company Elektroprivreda BiH to make all information on plans to construct hydroelectric plants on the river public; eventually, in May, the company abandoned the plans and cancelled the contracts already awarded due to public pressure.47 The same groups of activists continued their actions to prevent similar developments on the Ljuta River.48
  • Strike actions, like the miners’ strike in Zenica in the spring, were organized throughout Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2023.49 Higher inflation rates and mismanagement were the primary causes of the strikes, which are common in Bosnia and Herzegovina but rarely receive adequate responses from authorities.
  • The LGBT+ community faces various forms of discrimination, exclusion, violence, invisibility, and isolation. Sarajevo held its fourth annual Pride march in June 2023, with a heavy police presence and no violent incidents reported. A counterprotest attracted a few extremists, who cited religious and nationalist reasons for opposing the LGBT+ celebration. The SDA, which took a conservative social line, issued a statement protesting the traffic stoppages caused by the parade.50
  • Throughout the year, Sarajevo mayor Karić undermined freedom of expression in the capital by selectively granting or refusing requests to project certain colors or symbols on the City Hall without giving clear rationales for her denials. For example, she denied requests by the LGBT+ community to project rainbow colors onto Sarajevo City Hall during Pride. Following widespread public criticism over the decision, the mayor demanded later in June that the city councilors agree to stop the practice of projecting symbols onto the building altogether.51
  • Following several cases of femicide throughout the country, women in Sarajevo and several other cities participated in protest marches throughout the summer demanding changes to criminal legislation and the specific criminalization of femicide. The legislation has not been changed, however.52
  • In September, the RS parliament adopted a draft “foreign agent law,” ignoring protests from the civil sector and international observers who claimed that the draft would lead to increased surveillance of NGOs receiving financing from abroad, including requiring them to submit to increased registration and financial reporting requirements, and would bar them from political activities.53 In an ironic retort, civil society organizations facetiously proposed a broader law that would include official institutions as “foreign agents” because they are also receiving money from abroad.54 The foreign agent law is one of several pieces of legislation proposed in 2023 that, if passed, could undermine civic activism. A global civil society organization put Bosnia and Herzegovina on its watchlist of “countries experiencing rapid declines in civic freedoms following laws challenging the judiciary and attacks against activists and civil society,” and rated its civic space as “narrowed.”55
  • The police in Banja Luka and Mrkonjić Grad, both in the Republika Srpska, banned a gathering of antifascist organizations on November 25 marking the 80th anniversary of the establishment of the State Antifascist Council for the National Liberation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (ZAVNOBiH) as the legislative body of Partisan-held Bosnia and Herzegovina during World War II; the anniversary was celebrated as “Statehood Day” in the FBiH, but was not an official holiday in the RS and was and largely ignored there.56 At the same time, RS officials continue to celebrate the entity’s own “Statehood Day” every 9th January, celebrating Bosnian Serbs’ declaration of a creation of Serbian Bosnia and Herzegovina in 1992 despite rulings by Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Constitutional Court that the holiday was illegal because it discriminated against ethnic Bosniaks and Croats.57 In 2022, the high representative had threatened action if the RS repeated the celebrations, but Schmidt so far has not taken any steps.
Independent Media 1.00-7.00 pts
Examines the current state of press freedom, including libel laws, harassment of journalists, and editorial independence; the operation of a financially viable and independent private press; and the functioning of the public media. 3.00 / 7.00
  • The media market is oversaturated in BiH, making many outlets dependent on noncommercial funding sources and thus allowing authorities to exercise undue influence at various levels.58 Beyond the pressures exerted by editors and political actors, journalists are also exposed to frequent violence and threats. Still, some media organizations provide independent platforms for investigative journalism.59
  • In assessing the deteriorating media environment in 2023, the EU representative to Bosnia and Herzegovina wrote that “top officials of the Republika Srpska threatened or insulted journalists and media, critically minded journalists' property was destroyed, they were beaten, and police agencies pressured them to uncover their sources of information.” He described the situation in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina as slightly better. Still, “politicians and institutions used their power to attack and pressure journalists” in the FBiH.60
  • Republika Srpska authorities passed a law in July criminalizing defamation, reversing course after Bosnia and Herzegovina had decriminalized defamation two decades ago and chilling freedom of speech and expression in the RS. Members of the entity’s assembly passed the law despite strong protests from journalists, civil society, international representatives, and ordinary citizens.61 The recriminalization of defamation in Republika Srpska also alarmed UN experts in Geneva.62 This was followed by the proposal of several concerning draft laws in the RS that could endanger independent media and freedom of expression, according to organizations like the European Federation of Journalists (EFJ). The decline of media freedoms in Bosnia and Herzegovina is not restricted to the RS, although the situation in that entity is worse, and should be understood “against a backdrop of new restrictive laws” and general countrywide “hostile rhetoric and denigration of journalists by public officials, and ongoing systemic challenges to the independence of public service media,” according to a statement released by a coalition of the EFJ and partner organizations known as the Media Freedom Rapid Response (MFRR).63
  • A draft law on offenses to public order in Sarajevo Canton was submitted to the canton’s assembly, then withdrawn in June after widespread criticism that it “might lead towards censorship and self-censorship.” The proposal would have given powers to the police to decide whether certain information is “fake news.”64 Many local and international organizations, like the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) and Transparency International, criticized the attempt by the local authorities to target freedom of speech and internet rights.65
  • Smears and hate speech against journalists has been widespread throughout 2023. Six cases of threats and attacks on journalists were reported during just one week in February.66
  • Even the Bosnian diaspora participated in the threatening of local journalists. For example, Jasmin Mulahusić,67 a Bosnian influencer living in Luxembourg with a strong social media following, was found in 2023 to be “verbally abusing, threatening and exposing … journalists in BH to security risks for years.” While the Bosnian Prosecutor’s Office has linked Mulahusić to “terrorist activities” for some time, the authorities did not adequately respond and sanction Mulahusić and thus failed, according to experts, “to protect the rights and safety of journalists.”68 Hate speech by Mulahusić and others was used against independent journalist Dalija Hasanbegović, who said she was targeted in part because she is married to Bosnian foreign minister Elmedin Konaković. The Coalition for Women in Journalism, an international NGO, demanded in March that the Prosecutor’s Office bring charges, to no avail.69 Mulahusić also issued threats against independent journalist Almedin Šišić, publishing his address and the telephone number in July.70
  • In January, an editor at the commercial television channel O Kanal, Kenan Ćosić, broadcast an interview with the director of a propaganda film about Republika Srpska. Ćosić was repeatedly threatened privately and in posts on social networks, including death threats. A photo of his close relatives was also published, alongside names of female members of the family.71
  • Bosnian journalists’ associations pointed out in a July report that “a few years ago, the efficiency of the judiciary was only 33 percent in terms of dealing with attacks and threats against journalists; last year, that percentage was even lower—25.4 percent.”72 The High Judicial and Prosecutorial Council, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s judicial self-regulatory body, recommended in May that all prosecutors’ offices in the country appoint prosecutors specializing in crimes against journalists and the media, but this has not yet been implemented. International organizations promoting freedom of expression showed their concerns during a visit by an MFRR delegation to Bosnia and Herzegovina, describing “media freedom in survival mode.”73
  • In October, the official online platforms of institutions in the Republika Srpska moved overnight from “.net” to “.rs,” shifting from an American-run domain to a Serbian-run address. Following the sudden change, the old addresses no longer function, while the new ones have yet to be widely known. The shift reflects Dodik’s continued refusal to use the Bosnian state domain “.ba” and his allegiance to Serbia.74
Local Democratic Governance 1.00-7.00 pts
Considers the decentralization of power; the responsibilities, election, and capacity of local governmental bodies; and the transparency and accountability of local authorities. 3.25 / 7.00
  • Local self-government in Bosnia and Herzegovina remains highly dependent on events at the national level and party coalitions established at the state level. This provides an additional obstacle to local governance and destabilizes local alliances. Historically, local governments have been major job providers, which has created opportunities for misuse by political leaders and fueled patronage networks spanning the local and national levels.
  • In April, the Republika Srpska changed the status of Prnjavor into that of a city, making it the 11th city in the entity.75 The remaining 53 boroughs in the RS have the status of municipality. The practice of incorporating municipalities and transforming them into cities is intended to provide opportunities to attract investors and funding. The number of cities in the FBiH remained unchanged in 2023, at 23.
  • In May, the mayor of Stari Grad, in the City of Sarajevo, was arrested for alleged involvement in organized crime.76 Also in May, the former mayors of Sarajevo and of the Sarajevo Canton municipality of Ilidža, both of whom were serving as ambassadors at the time, were arrested—the former for purportedly misusing his power and city funds to benefit himself and his associates,77 and the latter for the alleged illegal issuing of building permits and illegal employment. The accused officials were removed from their jobs in the diplomatic service, where they had been positioned by the SDA when party members had been serving on the presidency and as foreign minister.
  • The discriminatory practice known as “two schools under one roof,” which segregates children of Croat and Bosniak ethnicity by having them attend separate schools in the same building, has not changed despite advocacy by Bosnian civil society and by international organizations like the OSCE.78 Children in 56 schools in three cantons—Central Bosnia, Zenica-Doboj, and Herzegovina-Neretva—remained subjected to segregated education in 2023. In Travnik, the capital of Central Bosnia, the policy was ended when a new school building opened in June, although most attendees of the new school were Bosniak anyway.79 In Vitez, also in Central Bosnia, there was an effort to integrate the children when a dance school was opened in May.80
  • Local governments in 2023 continued to perpetuate discriminatory practices and fail in their transitional justice commitments. In Sarajevo in March, a recently erected plaque marking the deaths of civilians during the siege of the city in the 1990s was sprayed with graffiti that glorified the perpetrators of those war crimes.81 However, the text on the plaque itself has also been criticized for not providing a complete account of the killings’ victims; Mayor Karić did not consult experts before putting up the monument, and requests from the Association for Social Research and Communications to correct the text have been ignored.82 In October, the Association of War Veterans and Antifascists in Mostar announced lawsuits against local authorities, alleging they were not doing enough to solve vandals’ attacks on the Partisans Memorial Cemetery. More than a year after the vandalization and destruction of the monuments there, there are still no signs of investigation.83
Judicial Framework and Independence 1.00-7.00 pts
Assesses constitutional and human rights protections, judicial independence, the status of ethnic minority rights, guarantees of equality before the law, treatment of suspects and prisoners, and compliance with judicial decisions. 2.75 / 7.00
  • The complexity of the political model in Bosnia and Herzegovina is reflected in the judicial system, which operates at several administrative levels: national, entity, and the self-governing Brčko District, each with its separate judiciaries. This, coupled with ten cantonal court systems in the FBiH, has resulted in an inefficient system where jurisdictions are not clearly delineated.84
  • Courts and judges remain subject to political pressure. For example, an act passed by the National Assembly of Republika Srpska in April 202385 called on Bosnian Serb judges to leave the Constitutional Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina, resulted in the retirements of two such judges.86 Politicians from the RS then used the manufactured crisis in the Constitutional Court to counter policies that they opposed. Dodik continued his previous demands on several occasions to make legislative changes that would bar three foreign judges currently sitting on the Constitutional Court from continuing to work there, and allow only domestic judges to serve on the court.
  • In another move undermining the constitutional order of the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the RS National Assembly adopted legislation in June, which Dodik confirmed in July, that makes Constitutional Court judgements nonapplicable within the Republika Srpska. The District Public Prosecutor’s Office in Banja Luka initiated a lawsuit against High Representative Schmidt after Dodik submitted a report arguing that Schmidt’s “conducts the work of high representative without the authorization and with no decision by the Security Council of the UN.”87 It was this set of political decisions that led to Dodik’s indictment by the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina. His trial is still ongoing.
  • Still, the independence and impartiality of the judiciary improved in some ways in 2023, as evidenced by the start of Dodik’s trial for his undermining of the Office of the High Representative. In addition, the arrests of two former and one current mayor for their alleged criminal actions while in office represent a small step forward.
  • Transparency International Bosnia and Herzegovina submitted a lawsuit in July against the state prosecutor, Milenko Kajganić, for allegedly failing to assign cases to prosecutors through an automatic distribution system, The system had put in place to prevent judges from granting leniency to politicians and other powerful figures based on their connections, and to stop clientelism and corruption in the judiciary. Kajganić’s predecessor had been removed in 2021 because of a similar failure to use the system.88
  • Institutions and elected officials in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s justice system continue to ignore international obligations for transparency. The presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina has not provided candidates for an open judge position on the European Court of Human Rights.89 Bosnia and Herzegovina has also failed in its obligation to appoint members to other bodies in the Council of Europe, including the Advisory Committee on the Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities, the European Committee for the Prevention of Torture and Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or Punishment (CPT), the European Commission against Racism and Intolerance (ECRI), and the Venice Commission (officially the European Commission for Democracy through Law) .90
  • State institutions have still not adopted legislation following the ECHR decisions on the equality of citizens and against discrimination in the series of cases beginning with Sejdić and Finci v. Bosnia and Herzegovina in December 2009. The latest decision against Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2023, Kovačević v. Bosnia and Herzegovina, was appealed by the official agents of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the ECHR. However, the mandate of these representatives, who were appointed by the previous governing coalition, is questionable, as a temporary extension of their mandate has expired and is not renewable. Moreover, the representatives appear to remain accountable to the parties that appointed them, rather than to Bosnia and Herzegovina’s current government. When the representatives act before the court, they do so under the title of “agent of Bosnia and Herzegovina.” However, when the ECHR asked the Bosnian Council of Ministers in October for more information on whether the agents were legal and legitimate, Chairwoman Krišto refused to put the matter on the agenda.91 Krišto belongs to the HDZ BiH party, which supports changes to the electoral law that would be contrary to the principles asserted in the Kovačević v. Bosnia-Herzegovina judgement.
Corruption 1.00-7.00 pts
Looks at public perceptions of corruption, the business interests of top policymakers, laws on financial disclosure and conflict of interest, and the efficacy of anticorruption initiatives. 2.75 / 7.00
  • A report by Transparency International and the Balkan Investigative Research Network (BIRN) described “lengthy judicial processes, inadequate indictments, frequent changes of the trial chambers and minimal penalties” in their report on corruption in Bosnia and Herzegovina in October.92 According to this report, corruption remains endemic, with no legal cases brought for political corruption. In general, anticorruption legislation is largely unharmonized between the various levels of government and does not follow international standards.
  • A three-year-long court case against former FBiH prime minister Fadil Novalić; Fahrudin Solak, the head of the Civil Protection Service; and Fikret Hodžić, the owner of a raspberry-producing company that was awarded an infamously speculative contract to purchase ventilators during the COVID-19 pandemic, ended in a guilty verdict in February. Novalić’s attorney had previously accused the US and British embassies of influencing the case against her client.93 The attorney reiterated her statement following the sentencing,94 allegations which the US embassy vehemently denied.95
  • In March 2023, the US Department of the Treasury sanctioned three Bosnians over a law passed by the Republika Srpska in April 2022 that “directly challenged BiH’s constitutional order” by asserting that Bosnia and Herzegovina’s government did not have authority over immovable state property located in the RS. In the same designation, the US Treasury also sanctioned Edin Gačanin, a Bosnian narcotics trafficker.96 In October, RS President Dodik’s adult children, Igor and Gorica Dodik, were targeted by sanctions as part of Dodik’s “patronage network,” which allowed him “to siphon public funds from the RS and enrich himself and his family at the expense of BiH citizens and functional governance in the country.”97 Finally, in November, three Bosnian Serb officials were sanctioned by the United States for “corruption and malign influences.”98
  • In October 2023, the Republika Srpska adopted legislation amending its Law on Prevention of Conflict of Interest. Still, the civic sector observed that the new law opened up additional opportunities for corruption by allowing elected RS officials to serve at the same time on the supervisory boards of associations and foundations receiving less than 100,000 marks ($55,720) from the budget.99 The opposition claimed that the law leaves broad spaces for misuse,100 and came up with their own proposals in October.101 In the FBiH, the implementation of an equivalent law adopted in 2013 has hit roadblocks, as it is unclear which institution should lead the process and efforts to amend the legislation to clarify it were put on ice in September. Thus the FBiH law, already old and inadequate, is not being implemented because of the lack of institutional competence, while amendments or a new law are not actively being considered.
  • After years of delay, changes to the Law on the High Judicial and Prosecutorial Council were adopted in September 2023. The changes required judges and prosecutors to report their assets for verification, and laid out disciplinary procedures to hold members of the High Judicial and Prosecutorial Council accountable. However, legal experts expressed concerns that the adopted legislation did not state some norms sufficiently clearly.102 Furthermore, following the announcement that the law would enter into force on December 23, the High Judicial and Prosecutorial Council proposed postponing implementation because of their lack of capacity to conduct all the required checks before judicial appointments.103
  • The Council of Ministers removed proposed laws that are part of the EU’s 14 priorities for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s advancement in the EU accession process—including a proposed Law on Prevention of Conflict of Interest—from its agenda in October 2023. Members of RS president Dodik’s SNSD party on the Council had conditioned their support for the law on the relocation of the Appellate Division of the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina to Banja Luka, which their coalition partners at the state level opposed by proposing East Sarajevo as the location.104
  • Sebija Izetbegović was finally removed in November 2023 as director of Sarajevo’s largest hospital, the Sarajevo Clinical Centre, following investigations by the university and cantonal prosecutors for over a year into allegations that she had forged the evidence she presented that she had received a master’s degree in medicine. Earlier in the year, the University of Sarajevo’s senate had revoked her doctoral and master’s degrees and her teaching contract as a professor of medicine. Nevertheless, she remains a representative in the canton’s assembly as a member of the SDA, party led by her husband.105 Additional scandals involving fake and purchased degrees were uncovered in 2023 in both the FBiH and the RS: in Una-Sana Canton in the FBiH, authorities discovered 148 fake university degrees, resulting in criminal charges, while RS education inspectors ordered the revocation of 110 university degrees and the correction of 126 more.106

Author: Neven Andjelic teaches international relations and human rights at Regent’s University, London, where he is the BA International Relations course leader. He is also a Visiting Professor at the University of Bologna. Dr. Andjelic is a member of the Committee for Political Sciences at the Academy of Sciences and Arts of Bosnia-Herzegovina. He served on the Advisory Committee on the Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities, Council of Europe, in 2014–18. Dr. Andjelic was a Visiting Senior Fellow at the London School of Economics and a Fulbright Visiting Scholar at the University of California, Berkeley. In addition to his academic activities, he is an activist on human rights issues. He had a career in journalism, including with CNN and the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), and is active in Bosnian media where he is frequently interviewed and publishes columns, as well as in media in Croatia, Serbia, and Montenegro. Dr. Andjelic has published numerous articles and two books in English, Bosnia-Herzegovina: The End of a Legacy (Frank Cass Publishers, 2003) and COVID-19, State-Power and Society in Europe: Focus on Western Balkans (Springer, 2022).

Footnotes