Document #2038011
Freedom House (Author)
Democracy Percentage | 82.14 / 100 |
Democracy Score | 5.93 / 7 |
By Marko Lovec
In 2019, there were no major changes in Slovenia. However, the country’s governance was noticeably hampered by a fragmented center-left ruling coalition kept together only by polarized relations with the political right. The traditional democratic roles of the media and judiciary were challenged by instrumentalization and interference from political actors, companies, and other interests. High-level corruption linked to the state’s role in the economy remained the biggest systemic challenge to democratic governance.
The center-left coalition government, established after the 2018 elections and led by the political newcomer Marjan Šarec and his List of Marjan Šarec (LMŠ) party, was highly fragmented in 2019 as it consisted of all center-left parties—including LMŠ, Modern Center Party (SMC), Social Democrats (SD), Party of Alenka Bratušek (SAB), and Democratic Party of Pensioners (DeSUS)—and depended on the external support of The Left (Levica) party for an absolute majority in the parliament. In November, following disagreements on social policies and declining support for the government, Levica terminated its cooperation with the coalition,1 meaning the government was forced to work with the opposition Slovenian National Party (SNS). Since individual members of parliament from DeSUS and SNS refused to back government proposals, the fate of the minority government was repeatedly at stake.2
In the second half of the year, tensions also appeared between the coalition partners, expressed in the overcontrol of state-owned companies3 as well as Prime Minister Šarec’s alleged interference in the upcoming DeSUS party elections.4 Still, compared to 2018 and prior years, the coalition was relatively stable and even enjoyed popular support of up to 60 percent (measured in June), which was substantially higher than the average government approval rating during the previous decade.5 Furthermore, the coalition government completed and implemented several important agreements (with public sector unions, among others) and moved forward on issues that had stalled in the past due to weak political support and blockades.
On the negative side, 2019 saw the continuous personalization of politics in Slovenia. LMŠ, in spite of relatively high support, was weak as a party, overly dependent on the person of Marjan Šarec, and at any time could have faced the same fate as the SMC under former prime minister Miro Cerar (which, after a landslide victory in 2014, lost support due to lack of experience and party structure, finding itself in 2019 on the edge of disappearing). Antagonism between the ruling coalition and the right-wing opposition, especially Janez Janša’s Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), also remained a feature of the country’s politics, hindering progress on various issues requiring broader consensus. The European Parliament (EP) elections in May confirmed a bipolar political situation, with the coalition center-left parties and the opposition conservative parties gaining four seats each.6
Slovenia’s electoral system, long characterized by unequal representation from different constituencies as well as the strong role of political parties in setting candidate lists, has been in need of modernization. In 2019, the government—following a 2018 Constitutional Court decision on unequal representation in electoral districts7—proposed changes to (and even the abolition of) districts along with the introduction of preferential voting. The country’s political parties held differing positions on these options. By the end of the year, two-thirds of the parliament appeared to have coalesced around a proposal to abolish districts and introduce a relative preferential vote,8 but the proposal had not been put to a vote by year’s end.
The media continued to labor under unstable and instrumental ownership. Media consolidation and a skewed advertising market negatively impacted the professional status and economic security of journalists. Other systemic challenges, including political and economic interference via advertising by state-owned companies and competition from partisan media, contributed to a biased and antagonistic public sphere. In 2019, some individual journalists and media outlets were subject to legal harassment and public shaming, among other attacks. A new draft media law did not present concrete solutions to these and other systemic issues.9
Judicial procedures and judicial self-management were heavily politicized and mediatized, raising doubts about judicial independence and the guarantee of equality before the law. In November, the SDS parliamentarian Žan Mahnič, after being prevented by the Constitutional Court from questioning public prosecutors as part of a parliamentary inquiry into allegedly political procedures against individuals close to the center-right, controversially commented that “the mafia was protected by the mafia.”10 Individual court members linked to particular political parties accused each other of biased decisions in cases politicized by those parties. The judge in the high-profile “Nović” case (see “Judicial Framework and Independence”) said in April that he faced undue pressure from the defense, prosecution, and court authorities,11 contributing to the public’s weak perception of judicial independence.
Corruption posed a central challenge in Slovenia in 2019, as in previous years. Changes made to the boards and management of state-owned companies and institutions, so common after elections, occurred during the year, raising serious concerns about nontransparency, political/partisan criteria, and the risks of clientelism and corruption. Some of the year’s major corruption cases were related directly to the cabinet12 or the coalition partners.13 These revealed clashes among political leaders and various lobbying groups, with all actors treating state-owned businesses as prizes to be won in private feuds. There was also evidence of nontransparency, inefficiency, and possible corruption in state-funded programs and major public services, such as healthcare and higher education. An unsuccessful lobbying effort in the parliament over tobacco legislation revealed problems posed by the country’s lack of a code of ethics and other relevant regulation. Meanwhile, the Commission for the Prevention of Corruption (CPC), handicapped by past political decisions, remained hampered by low public trust.
In 2020, the governing coalition, in spite of losing support, will stay above water so long as LMŠ maintains relatively strong public support compared to other coalition and opposition parties, many of which would perhaps fail to reach the parliamentary threshold if early elections were called. The possibility of the formation of other coalitions cannot be excluded, especially as the opposition New Slovenia party signaled some readiness to enter or form an alternative to the current government. However, such a move could also backfire, given the political fragmentation that would hound any alternate coalition and the forecasted macroeconomic deterioration. Moreover, cooperation among center-right and center-left parties is complicated by the antagonist role played by SDS leader Janez Janša. Overall, Slovenia’s political gridlock will continue to hinder progress in a variety of areas. In the media sector, further consolidation of ownership would likely intensify the risks to journalists and journalistic independence. One bright spot is the potential for an amended law on corruption and the nomination of a new head of the CPC, both of which could bring some improvements in this area.
Considers the democratic character of the governmental system; and the independence, effectiveness, and accountability of the legislative and executive branches. | 5.75 / 7.00 |
Examines national executive and legislative elections, the electoral framework, the functioning of multiparty systems, and popular participation in the political process. | 6.50 / 7.00 |
Assesses the organizational capacity and financial sustainability of the civic sector; the legal and political environment in which it operates; the functioning of trade unions; interest group participation in the policy process; and the threat posed by antidemocratic extremist groups. | 6.00 / 7.00 |
Examines the current state of press freedom, including libel laws, harassment of journalists, and editorial independence; the operation of a financially viable and independent private press; and the functioning of the public media. | 5.50 / 7.00 |
Considers the decentralization of power; the responsibilities, election, and capacity of local governmental bodies; and the transparency and accountability of local authorities. | 6.50 / 7.00 |
Assesses constitutional and human rights protections, judicial independence, the status of ethnic minority rights, guarantees of equality before the law, treatment of suspects and prisoners, and compliance with judicial decisions. | 6.00 / 7.00 |
Looks at public perceptions of corruption, the business interests of top policymakers, laws on financial disclosure and conflict of interest, and the efficacy of anticorruption initiatives. | 5.25 / 7.00 |
Author: Marko Lovec is a Research Fellow and Assistant Professor in the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Ljubljana.
The ratings reflect the consensus of Freedom House, its academic advisers, and the author(s) of this report. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the author(s). The ratings are based on a scale of 1 to 7, with 7 representing the highest level of democratic progress and 1 the lowest. The Democracy Score is an average of ratings for the categories tracked in a given year. The Democracy Percentage, introduced in 2020, is a translation of the Democracy Score to the 0–100 scale, where 0 equals least democratic and 100 equals most democratic.